It is one report on speculation about Sarah Palin’s effect on voters or more correctly, asks a question on what her effect will be. Specifically from the standpoint of those who supported Hillary Clinton and perhaps the gender vote. As an aside, while preparing this post other sources of this AP report were viewed with an interesting result. The links to the sources are offered below the AP report excerpt. KGET in ‘the Bay Area’ and KRON have what can only be a truncated or edited version of the AP report. The content they provided along with the original AP report title convey a much different idea than the original. And the MSM wonders why they are being criticized. (more on that later)
Reference to an ABC News Poll suggests Palin attracts 6% to McCain while Biden attracts 12% to Obama. That information, on its own, is of limited usefulness except to say that shortly after her appearance on the national political stage, Sarah Palin is already drawing half as many voters to McCain as Biden is to Obama. And Biden is a much more known quantity in US politics. Another interesting poll result from Gallup suggests 8/10 Clinton supporters will vote for Obama but that information was gathered after the McCain VP announcement. Number one, things may have changed since then. Number two, where is the information about the other 20%? Are we to assume they are voting for McCain/Palin? Or are there intentions something different than voting for either major party ticket?
If there are the now famous 18 million Clinton voters from the primary elections and 20%, or 3.6 million are not voting for Obama, that could mean McCain/Palin had close to 4 million of Obama’s party voting for them simply by announcing the selection of Palin or even without her on the ticket. But that is the problem with bits and pieces of polling data. It always leaves you needing more information about the data and it is hard to tell what significance, if any, is demonstrated by polling data.
A repeat or additional set of comments by or from Gloria Steinem and Ellen Moran from Emily’s List present some generalizations that may play or be rejected by anyone reading the report. The concern on this blog is that their sort of ’sound bites’ may play and influence unsuspecting voters. The disaffected Clinton vote, gender vote or whatever subgroup Steinem or Moran are talking about is not likely a 100% up or down vote on either major ticket. For either commenter to suggest that there are very few or no liberal voters selecting McCain/Palin this year is as much hogwash as saying no conservatives are voting for the Democratic party ticket. The more compelling question is which ticket will succeed in drawing the largest segment of voters from the other ticket’s core voters or base? Even after the election we may not really know based on how skimpy the MSM is with real facts and data that can be validated. Ya, I know, another shot at the fourth estate or whatever the artist formerly known as journalism calls itself these days.
Which brings to mind one of the fine examples of the few remaining journalistic practitioners on the planet; George Will. If you already read columns by George Will you need no prodding by this blog to continue. If you are not familiar or have not read his material, you should. The style of writing alone is enough to bring back readers. Combine that with inspiring viewpoints, apparent knowledge and historical references provided, George Will is a must read. In these days with an abundance of media hacks, it suggests there may be hope for journalism yet. (Okay, enough uncompensated plugging for George Will)
The last comment in the AP piece is especially telling about people’s viewpoints and how twisted they can get in politics as well as other parts of life on the planet. A woman not fond of Palin suggests that the ‘18 million cracks’ in the glass ceiling did not include Sarah Palin. Oh, I get it, some die-hard liberals don’t really believe their own Kook Aid about championing the cause for the people and apparently if you don’t share their viewpoints you do not qualify as a ‘people’.
If Hillary Clinton’s challenge for the Democratic Party’s Presidential nominee furthered the cause for women and the ‘glass ceiling’ issue, it applies to Sarah Palin as well as any other woman. Or do liberals apply their own sniff test as to whether or not any person qualifies to be treated fairly? You know, you only get rights if you submit to the Liberal Kool Aid Acid Test and pass as a certified kook fringe far left liberal.
Rant concluded. The central point for offering this post besides a few shots at the MSM and liberals was to suggest that polling data is of limited usefulness and it is just as reasonble to suggest that McCain/Palin is benefiting from the Democratic party division more than the liberal commentary may be willing to admit.
Stanford Matthews
MoreWhat.com
Most Clinton backers say Palin’s too far a stretch
By JOCELYN NOVECK – 21 hours ago
Sandy Goodman was deeply disappointed when Hillary Rodham Clinton didn’t get the Democratic nomination, then again when she was bypassed for the VP spot. So Goodman, a longtime Florida Democrat, flirted with thoughts of shunning Barack Obama, and perhaps even voting Republican.
Then John McCain picked Sarah Palin as his running mate, and suddenly things became clear to Goodman: The Republicans had no place for her.
“Boy, you are sure not talking to ME!” Goodman, 61, says she thought when she heard Palin’s views on issues like abortion rights. Now, Goodman is volunteering for Obama.
But then there’s Chrissie Peters. The 37-year-old librarian from Bristol, Tenn. has always voted Democratic and supported Clinton. She assumed she’d vote for Obama — until she saw Palin speak. Now she’s voting Republican.
“She was so down-to-earth, a regular person,” says Peters. “She hasn’t been in politics her whole life, so she isn’t jaded or tainted. And I love that she’s a mom. Yes, I disagree with some of her positions, but that’s what this country is about.”
One of the most intriguing questions about the Alaska governor’s sudden arrival on the national scene has been what impact it’ll have on women voters — especially those who supported Clinton.
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5iYQV5v00aLCnUUTZpVfPejgbPeZQD930Q53G0
http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/09/06/most-clinton-backers-say-palins-too-far-a-stretch/
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080905/ap_on_el_pr/from_clinton_to_palin
http://www.kron.com/Global/story.asp?S=8961814
http://www.kget.com/political/story.aspx?content_id=e5886927-8f3c-4d73-b0dc-7f1ab051eb02